Renowned AI Expert Makes Incredible Predictions for the Next 30 Years

Monday, 26 January 2015 - 3:32PM
Technology
Monday, 26 January 2015 - 3:32PM
Renowned AI Expert Makes Incredible Predictions for the Next 30 Years

We've heard a lot of inflammatory predictions about artificial intelligence in the media lately, but the predictions of Ray Kurzweil could (and probably should) hold a lot more weight. Bill Gates calls Kurzweil "the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence," and he has made many unbelievably accurate predictions about advancements in the field over the years. Here are a few technology predictions of his that have not only come true, but have come true within two years of his projected timeline:

 

-The first computer to defeat a world champion at chess in 1997

-Internet search engines

-Voice recognition technology

-Augmented reality eyeglasses

 

Now, at a speech for Singularity University, the extremely qualified expert has made some insane predictions about the future of AI for the next thirty years:

 

 

Late 2010's 

 

-Glasses will beam images directly onto the retina.

-Ten terabytes of computing power (roughly the same as the human brain) will cost about $1,000.

 

2020s

 

-Most diseases will go away as nanobots become smarter than current medical technology.

-Normal human eating can be replaced by nanosystems.

-Self-driving cars begin to take over the roads, and people won't be allowed to drive on highways.

 

2030s

 

-Virtual reality will begin to feel 100% real.

-We will be able to upload our mind/consciousness by the end of the decade.

 

2040s

 

-Non-biological intelligence will be a billion times more capable than biological intelligence (a.k.a. us).

-Nanotech foglets will be able to make food out of thin air and create any object in physical world at a whim.

-By 2045, we will multiply our intelligence a billionfold by linking wirelessly from our neocortex to a synthetic neocortex in the cloud.

 

These claims may seem outlandish, but Kurtzweil's track record for AI predictions has been more than impressive so far. His projections are based on his groundbreaking theory called The Law of Accelerating Returns, which states that Moore's Law should be expanded to describe the exponential growth of various forms of technology. If artificial intelligence technology grows according to an exponential function over the next thirty years, then we can probably expect a real-life Ex Machina scenario in the near future.

 

AI

[Credit: Singularity Hub]

Science
Artificial Intelligence
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